Apart from exponential increases in heating oil and fuel, I have read that cooking oil (evidenced already in marg prices as it is used in the manufacture) and flour will also be in short supply. I had thought of a trip to Hay market tomorrow to stock up on the Wessex Mill Oats 'n' Bran bread flour I use regularly, then worked out it would cost £5 in fuel. I decided to order my bread flour on-line, including a 10 Kg sack of strong white bread flour. So I should be OK for a good few months, and then we will know which way the wind is blowing.
The really SENSIBLE thing to do would be to encourage farmers in the UK to increase their output so we can be more self-sufficient and import less - and stop paying them to rewild their farms. Or for blocks to be put in place to prevent good farmland being sold off for giant companies offsetting their carbon emissions by planting non-native trees. For heaven's sake, where is the sense in that when we teeter on the brink of what could be WW3? It is too early to predict (if such a thing were possible) what the fallout of the war in Ukraine will be, and how long it will last, so best to do a bit of "prepping" - though not to the extent that many people do it. We are just stocking up the larder as and when, and with fresh vegetables, I will grow what I can here as it is so much nicer and convenient and fresher. It will be a while before my orchard is productive to any degree, but I have a friend with two apple trees!!
A double Primula of the deepest red (Ena Harkness rose red) which I just HAD to have last week when I was at the nursery near Crossgates. Which reminds me, I must get my bundle of raspberry canes planted today.